International Forecaster Weekly

An excerpt from The International Forecaster. Published on Wednesdays and Saturdays.

How the West is Engineering its Own Downfall

April 12th, 2014
By James Corbett

For those who are still locked in the mindset that moves on the geopolitical chessboard are essentially random, with countries scattering this way and that like billiard balls at the break, this poses a puzzling question: why would the NATO allies be backing Russia into a corn...

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Markets Tumble on Tech Selloff

April 9th, 2014
By James Corbett

The tech sector has already lost 6% of its value since early March, and unfortunately there are signs that it still has further down to go. In some ways the tech sector might be a victim of its own success. After years of outperforming expectations, raised expectations and slo...

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A US BRICS Currency War

April 5th, 2014
By Alfred Adask

By “isolating” Russia, the US government would force Russia to not only abandon use of the fiat dollar, but also to help accelerate the establishment of another monetary system for global trade that does not rely on fiat dollars.

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Government Applies Reverse Midas Touch to Bitcoin

April 2nd, 2014
By James Corbett

This is in fact not a new law, nor unique to Bitcoin. According to existing law, when anything other than Federal Reserve Note funny money is used to make a payment of any sort, there is a taxable gain that needs to be calculated and declared for the transaction.

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A Complex Chain Reaction

March 29th, 2014
By Alfred Adask

Obama's  announcement may not be good news for Ukraine, but it is for the rest of the world.   President Obama isn't dumb enough to go to war with Russia over the Crimea.   Thank God.  The World War III that some predicted will have to wait for an...

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Shoot Yourself in The Foot by Sanctioning Russia

March 26th, 2014
By James Corbett

Russia is starting to hit where it counts: the pocketbook of the average European. Russia is slowly turning off the natural gas spigot as shipments to Europe are down 4% from the previous week. And now Russian Gazprom is asking nearly $500/1000 cubic meters of gas, almost one ...

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The Most Precious Commodity

March 22nd, 2014
By James Corbett

Remember, this is just one data broker operating in an industry that is estimated to include thousands of similar companies. “Estimated” because, of course, the industry flies almost completely under the radar.

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Cook Those Books

March 19th, 2014
By Bob Rinear

For years now we’ve been mired in this recession. They have to cook the books like mad genius’s to get us anywhere near a 2% GDP. But here’s this guy screaming about a 5% GDP which on the surface would look like the economy is really firing on all cylinders a...

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How to Engineer a Crisis for Fun and Profit

March 15th, 2014
By James Corbett

...the powers-that-shouldn't-be have long understood that the crisis effect works whether the crisis is genuine and spontaneous, or a manufactured event they themselves have staged, manipulated, or allowed to occur. No matter the origins of the crisis, they use the panic that ...

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Yet Another Market Rigging Scheme Comes to Light

March 12th, 2014
By James Corbett

According to a June 2013 Bloomberg report, the 4:00 PM London “fixing” on the FX exchange was being manipulated by traders who were sharing client order information in online chatrooms.

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A Look Back At JP Morgan

  And yet, as impressive as Rumsfeld's credentials as wheeler-dealer of our era are, they pale in comparison to the man who towered over late 19th and early 20th century America: J. P. Morgan.

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Russia Pullback Causes Abnormality to Resume

March 5th, 2014
By James Corbett

A statement by Putin on Tuesday was read by the markets as a detente (despite the fact that the Russian Navy afterward blocked off the Kerch Strait separating the troubled Crimean region from Russia) and buying resumed apace.

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Warning Shots Fired In The Ukraine

March 4th, 2014
By IF Editors

Putin has been busy trashing his country’s reputation after a successful winter Olympics. In the last few hours, Putin now claims he is not there to wage war in the Ukraine, despite rushing to seize strategic Russian assets in the region.

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When We Are In A Depression

March 1st, 2014
By Afred Adask

Once most Americans believed the national economy was depressed, it became extremely difficult for government to overcome that belief and cause an economic recovery. Some people think the Great Depression would’ve lasted 5 to 10 years longer if WWII hadn’t begun an...

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Make or Break Time for Bitcoin

February 26th, 2014
By James Corbett

Right now, the Bitcoin community is going collectively insane trying to figure out what this all means. In one sense, this is about Mt. Gox and only directly impacts users who relied on that particular exchange.

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4 Countries to Watch in 2014

February 22nd, 2014
By James Corbett

James Corbett has four countries you should watch for in 2014. No doubt because you are going to be hearing more about them in the news and elsewhere. Countries that may not be in open revolt right now, but are likely the next up for real settling of accounts for actions, and ...

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Central Banking as Magic Act

February 19th, 2014
By James Corbett

 This is a useful analogy to understand what the Fed, the BoJ, the BoE, the ECB, and just about every other major central bank on the planet is engaged in right now with their various easing and lending programs.

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Watch Out It Is Coming

February 15th, 2014
By Bob Rinear

Why is the Fed tapering when virtually everyone with a functioning brain cell knows the economy is just barely limping by? Why is the Fed saying they’ll need to see poor data to end tapering, when we’ve had gobs of bad data and they’re explaining it away?

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American Caesar

February 12th, 2014
By James Corbett

It was merely a joke, of course, delivered with the President's trademark ear-to-ear grin, but the sentiment no doubt reveals more truth about his mentality than he intended.

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What To Do When Bankers Start Jumping Out of Windows

February 8th, 2014
By James Corbett

Why are bankers thowing themselves from windows now? By itself, any one of these deaths would have been ghastly enough. But taken together, this string of suicides brings with it a slew of worrying implications.

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Fed Tapers As Markets Panic

February 5th, 2014
By James Corbett

All of the news in recent days has been either worrying or harrowing. First there was the story of the banker suicides, with three influential banking executives ending up dead in the span of one week. We've seen equities markets across the board in freefall, with the Dow fall...

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